We have three games in schedule for tonight: Knicks/Heat, Magic/Pacers and Mavericks/Thunder. Looking at the schedule for the upcoming games, May 3 has only 2 games in Heat/Knicks and Thunder/Mavs. If I want to use Melo on a home game, I would save him for that date since the injury on Shumpert will definitely be an advantage for the Heat. Shumpert was arguably their best perimeter defender and their best point guard with Baron Davis, Mike Bibby and Toney Douglas on board. With that in mind, the chances of the Knicks losing this series becomes greater and news about Jeremy Lin coming back for Game 4 might be true. For the Magic/Pacers series, I would not touch any of the players from both teams since the Magic won Game 1.
Picking a Mavs player crossed my mind when I saw the schedule of the Thunder/Mavs series. Their Game 3 coincides with the Pacers/Magic Game 4, Grizzlies/Clippers Game 3 and Spurs/Jazz Game 3. On this day, I might pick Al Jeff depending on what happens on their Game 2 but it is evident that the Spurs are determined to reach round 2 in a hurry to get an extended period of rest. The Clippers/Grizzlies series is fun to watch and I think this series will go the distance; the best thing to do is to wait and see what happens to this. The Pacers/Magic game is also fun to watch but I think that the Magic will win one at their home court and the Pacers winning the series by 6.
Cutting to the chase, if I will play it conservatively and pick a rotation player instead of a superstar, I might regret it in the end because I need to reach 200-300 points at the end of the first round to be in contention to other players of this game. So for today's games, I am going with Dirk Nowitzki. It was a heartbreaking Game 1 loss but they know that they can actually beat this team just like last year. As for me, I think that this would be Thunder in 5, the Mavs need to win Game 2 to get momentum for Game 3 so Dirk Nowitzki will do his best to keep this team up-float. I also expect the Thunder to slow Dirk down; they don't want to have the series tied at 1-1 with the Mavs returning to their home court at Games 3 and 4.
I am expecting 30+ PRA for Dirk, I hope he doesn't disappoint. My projected stats for him would be 24pts, 8rebs, 3asts.